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Anchored by Jake Tapper, The Lead airs at 4 p.m. ET on CNN.

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June 21st, 2013
07:00 PM ET

Analysis: House GOP split on immigration

On the heels of the $500 billion farm bill's defeat on the House floor Thursday, analysts predict a similar partisan outcome to the possible vote on immigration reform, which could begin as early as Monday.

"There is such dysfunction [in the House] now that you'd have to be Pollyanna to say 'Oh, yeah, suddenly they're going to get over this, they're going to pass immigration reform," said CNN chief political analyst Gloria Borger.

Borger said the bill is likely to pass the Senate "with a large margin," but belives that the House Republicans' split on the bill could prove insurmountable.

CNN contributor and Democratic strategist Donna Brazile said that the bill could pass successfully though the chamber if both parties attempt compromise despite the finger-pointing that followed the collapse of the farm bill.

Former Rick Santorum spokesperson Alice Stewart said that Republicans against the bill are holding out for stronger guarantees to increase border security, calling it their "top priority."

Stewart said that the bill's new border security amendment that will likely be voted on Monday is "a great first start" towards the issues most concerning to Republicans.

"We have to stop the river flooding of people coming across the border and bring it down to a trickle," Stewart said. "Border security is the most important thing."

For our full politics panel, check out the video above.

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