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(CNN) - From the beginning, the administration has known that no matter how many people sign up for Obamacare, a substantial number have to be young and healthy, they have to put more money into the insurance pool than they will take out.
The data CNN has so far for five states suggests that part of the equation is not going very well.
California is seeing a big surge this week in the number of people establishing accounts, about 10,000 a day, but it is nonetheless seeing only about 23% in the young and healthy demographic.
Washington state is seeing the same percentage of 23.
Kentucky, touted as one of the most successful state programs, has only 19% in the young and healthy category, as does Connecticut.
Maryland has 27% in that category.
The Congressional Budget Office projected that the Affordable Care Act should have about 7 million people signed up by the end of March 2014. So far, in terms of people who have actually signed up for an insurance policy, that goal is a long way off, only about 3% of that target group have completed the process.
This is not necessarily dreadful, since it was expected that early signups would go very slowly and would ramp up later.
But looking at the average of those young and healthy signups - the system needs to reach 38%. Right now, averaging the states for which CNN has data, it is only at 21.6% so far.